Wimbledon Preview

Six players to surprise us at Wimbledon 2021 – what does the data tell us?

Wimbledon starts Monday June 28th and the tennis world’s eyes go from the red Clay of Roland Garros to the green Grass of the All England Lawn Tennis Club. 

So, who are the players ranked outside of the top 20 who might surprise us? Who are the players who did well in Paris and who could also do well in London? Meanwhile, who might have shone brightly on the Parisian Clay but might vanish quickly on the Wimbledon Grass? 

Shane Liyanage from Data Driven Sports Analytics (DDSA) gives us his insights on some of the players to watch at the 2021 Wimbledon Championships.

Players ranked outside of the top 20 who could do well.

Ugo Humbert (seeded 21)

Frenchman Humbert is one of the on form players on Grass right now- the 22 year old defeated other young tennis stars Sascha Zverev, Felix Auger-Aliassime, Sebastian Korda and Andrey Rublev on his way to winning the Halle ATP 500 title. 

Humbert has some nice history at Wimbledon – in 2019, he was the only Next Gen player to reach the last sixteen where he was stopped by eventual champion Novak Djokovic. 

One shot that will give Humbert an advantage this Wimbledon is his serve. Humbert excels at the two most important serves in grass court tennis-, the T serve on the Deuce side and the wide serve on the AD side. According to Data Driven Sports Analytics (DDSA), in the men’s game, 4.6% more points are won on the Deuce T than the AD side. On the AD side, wide serves are 3.4% more successful. 

DDSA’s Shane Liyanage says that this is an advantage for Humbert who “faults 5.1% less on the deuce T and wins 5% more. He has the same faults on the AD side but wins 3.2% more on the wide ball. Also court dimensions of centre court at Wimbledon provide more space to return out wide than T compared to 2 of the other slams.”

Another reason to expect Humbert to do well this Wimbledon is his mature decision to pull out of Mallorca before his second round match in order to rest for the Championships, which suggests Humbert has his eyes firmly focused on one of tennis’ greatest prizes. 

Humbert may find the extra rest very helpful- in the first round, he faces Nick Kyrgios. Earlier this season, the two met in the Australian Open second round with Humbert losing the match after holding match points. Kyrgios has not played since losing in the Australian third round to Dominic Thiem and this Wimbledon first round match could be a good opportunity for revenge for the Frenchman. 

To read more please go to tennis-academies.com

https://tennis-academies.com/blog/1/six-players-to-surprise-us-at-wimbledon-2021-what-does-the-data-tell

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Christian Deverille

Christian Deverille is a tennis writer with a diploma in Freelance Sports Writing from the London School of Journalism. He loves all things tennis, most of all the Federer and del Potro forehands.
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